5 handed $2,560 / $1,280 - paying 3 spots
SB $377,280 - playing tight
BB $70,800 - playing loose aggressive - all in a lot
Hero button $82,320
action folds to Hero with QTc
normally this is a raise, howe ever BB has been going all in almost every hand, so the point here is to get in cheaply if possible. If BB goes all in, its an easy fold with minimal loss.
Hero limps - SB completes - BB checks
POT - $7,680
Flop - 9d6s4s
Folds to hero, here has no hand and its a somewhat scary board.
what should hero do?
1 - should hero fold? No, that doesn't make any sense as its a free turn
2 - should hero bet? Hero could take a stab at it as nobody has shown any interest but hero would loose free turn card and either of the other two could bluff raise with any two cards (especially BB). drawing hands are not going to fold here, so its probably better to wait until the turn, see if their hands hit and if not decide if a bet there is a good idea
3 - should hero check? No danger here, gets to see the next card free which could give him the best hand or a draw to a straight. letting them check again on the turn would also give hero more information about the strength of their hands.
seems like a check is the best choice here (make sure to mix up your play, there are different ways to make sure you do this without depending upon your memory)
Turn - Jh (9d6s4sJh)
doesn't complete any draws and its folded to Hero.
1 - should hero fold? no same reasoning as flop
2 - should hero bet? betting is starting to make sense, no one has shown any interest on two streets, they are probably very weak or have a flush draw - possibly a straight draw. its possible hero could take it down with a small bet, you also have some value here with the straight draw.
3 - should her check? checking here is very passive, it tells them that you weren't slow playing and have nothing as well, opening them up to a bluff on the river. since you don't have a hand, that's not a good thing.
looks like a good betting spot, the J can be used as a bluff card as well. so how much of a bet?
the pot is $7,680, stack sizes are much higher, hero is just looking to make a small stab here to take it down cheaply. if somebody is slow playing they won't get much, if they have a draw, they are going to call even if you bet large. seems like a smaller bet is whats needed here, anyone calling is basically screaming they have a drawing hand / weak hand
Hero bets min, $2,560 - 1/3 bet only has to win 25% of the time here
SB calls and the BB folds
River - 2c ($12,800) - (9d6s4sJh2c)
hands that would have called that the 2c would have helped? X2 / x2, 35, and 22. no other hands are helped. any of these are in the range of potential hands SB could have.
Unless SB is playing some very strange slow play, this card missed his hand, more likely he was on a flush draw, had to over cards or very weak pair. he is either opening you check behind or is slow playing a big hand.
Hero has Q high and has shown the only aggression in the hand.
1) fold? - ridiculous unless you want to hide the hands you are playing for image
2) check? - weak, will loose the majority of the time to a bigger high card or weak made hand
i) are there weaker hands that will call? - only if they want to see your hand
ii) are there stronger hands that will fold? - absolutely, any higher cards, weak pairs
looks like a toss up, usually being the aggressor is the better choice as it gives your opponent a chance to make a mistake.
how much to bet?
1/4 pot? missed hands may fold here
1/2 pot? weak made hands may fold here
3/4 pot? mid pairs may fold here (remember hero represented a weak J)
pot? no different than 3/4 pot raise
two final questions
1) what will SB think hero has based on the betting so far? - probably a weak J or a middle pair
2) what will hero do if SB raises his bet? two options, fold or reraise, folding is probably best bet, the pot is small and not worth a reraise bluff.
What should Hero do? If betting, how much?
Will post results after some responses.